2021 Atlantic hurricane names: See the list, including rollover names
These names will be used for the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season. If the list gets exhausted by storms, a rollover list of names are next in line.
Grace Pateras, Palm Beach Post
The Atlantic basin is trying to muster another early start to hurricane season with a spot of burgeoning low pressure east of Bermuda that could become a short-lived Ana over the weekend. .
National Hurricane Center meteorologists, who began regular forecasts May 15 this year after six consecutive years of early-forming tropical cyclones, are giving the bloom of winds a 40% chance of tropical development over the next five days. Chances of development were 10% over 48 hours as of Wednesday’s 2 p.m. forecast.
The area, which is expected to become full-fledged swirl of low pressure a few hundred miles northeast of Bermuda on Thursday, is forecast to move southwestward over storm-inducing warm waters on Friday.
That wiggle west might give birth to a brief subtropical cyclone. If the system reaches storm status, it would be named Ana, but the NHC said Wednesday it will quickly skip to the north and northeast on Monday and into a “more hostile environment.”
June 1 remains the official start date of hurricane season despite the May 15 launch of regular tropical weather outlooks at 2 a.m., 8 a.m., 2 p.m. and 8 p.m.
With the start-date closing in, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration will issue its hurricane forecast Thursday following a handful of other groups that are largely forecasting a slightly above-normal to an above-normal season.
Colorado State University and AccuWeather both predict above-normal tropical cyclone activity during the 2021 storm season.
2021 hurricane forecasts start early: Hurricane forecasts to begin May 15, but season start date remains June 1
More coming early: Scary trend: Major hurricanes in October and November — why is it happening?
AccuWeather’s forecast calls for between 16 and 20 named storms, seven to 10 hurricanes and three to five major hurricanes.
Colorado State University is expecting 17 named storms, eight hurricanes and four major hurricanes.
A normal hurricane season, which was recalculated this year based on the years 1991-2020, is 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes.
Last year had 30 named storms, 14 hurricanes and seven major hurricanes. Gamma was upgraded to a hurricane in its post-storm report. On Tuesday, Hurricane Iota was downgraded to a Cat 4 from a Cat 5.
Ken Graham, director of the National Hurricane Center, said in March that more climatological data and social science information is needed before there are any changes made to the June 1-to-Nov. 30 storm season calendar.
Starting the season early could mean unnecessary overlap with other severe weather events, such as the current tornado outbreak in Dixie Alley, or lead to preparation fatigue so that people aren’t paying attention when peak hurricane season arrives in mid-August.
“If you think about it, the earlier the season, the farther we get away from the peak, is that helpful or not helpful from a preparedness standpoint?” Graham said.