Tropics watch: National Hurricane Center watching 3 systems, including what may become Iota

Cheryl McCloud
| The Daytona Beach News-Journal

The National Hurricane Center is tracking three systems in the Atlantic basin: Post-Tropical Cyclone Eta, Tropical Storm Theta and an area of low pressure in the Caribbean that is expected to become the season’s next tropical depression or tropical storm.

Tropical Storm Eta made landfall near Cedar Key at 4 a.m. Thursday, with maximum sustained winds of 50 mph. The storm moved across the state and entered the Atlantic close to the Florida/Georgia state line Thursday afternoon. 

Hurricane forecast: As Eta fades, there’s at least one Iota left in awful season | WeatherTiger

The next named storm of the season will be Iota.

Here’s the latest update from the NHC as of 7 a.m. ET Friday, Nov. 13: 

What’s out there and where are they?

1. Post-Tropical Storm Eta: What’s left of the former hurricane and tropical storm was about 85 miles southeast of Wilmington, North Carolina.

2. Tropical Storm Theta: Theta is located about 445 miles south-southeast of the Azores.

3. Disturbance 1: Showers and thunderstorms are associated with a broad area of low pressure over the central Caribbean Sea.

How likely are they to strengthen?

1. Post-Tropical Cyclone Eta:  Eta could intensify a little as a non-tropical cyclone during the next day or so before it becomes absorbed by a larger non-tropical cyclone Saturday or Saturday night. The National Hurricane Center issued its last advisory on Eta at 4 a.m.

2. Tropical Storm Theta: Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph, with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 12 hours or so. Afterward, weakening is expected through the weekend, and Theta is expected to become a remnant low on Sunday and dissipate in five days. 

3. Disturbance 1: Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form later today or tonight while the system moves slowly west.

  • Formation chance through 48 hours: 90%
  • Formation chance through 5 days: 90%

Details on Post-Tropical Cyclone Eta

Eta’s impact on Florida: We avoided worst, but Eta – first 2020 storm to make landfall in the state – drenches rest of South Florida

  • Location: 85 miles southeast of Wilmington, North Carolina
  • Maximum sustained winds: 45 mph
  • Present movement: east-northeast at 21 mph 

Details on Tropical Storm Theta

  • Location: 445 miles south-southeast of the Azores
  • Maximum sustained winds: 60 mph
  • Present movement: east at 12 mph 

Who is likely to be impacted?

Post-Tropical Cyclone Eta: Swells generated by Eta will affect portions of the southeastern coast of the United States today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

Tropical Storm Theta: There are no hazards to land from Tropical Storm Theta.

Disturbance 1: Residents in Honduras and Nicaragua were advised to monitor the progress of the disturbance.

Forecasters advise all residents to stay informed and be prepared during this very active hurricane season.

Tracking the tropics in real time:

These graphics, which update automatically, show you activity in the tropics in real time:

Latest images from National Hurricane Center:

USAT storm tracker:

What’s next?

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